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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-09-20 16:15

Nice – Lille

Home 26% 3.79 fair
Draw 25% 3.94 fair
Away 48% 2.07 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Nice – Lille
FINAL Actual Result 2–1 Nice – Lille
Expected Goals2.66
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.549%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.66
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.53 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.59 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

26.4% 3.79 26.4% 3.60
25.4% 3.94 27.2% 3.50
48.2% 2.07 46.4% 2.05
51.8% 1.93 —
73.6% 1.36 —
74.6% 1.34 —

Half-time result

22.9% 4.36 —
41.5% 2.41 —
35.6% 2.81 —

Half-time double chance

64.4% 1.55 —
77.1% 1.3 —
58.5% 1.71 —

Both halves

5.4% 18.55 —

HT/FT

15.2% 6.57 —
5.2% 19.34 —
9.7% 10.27 —
15.6% 6.43 —
16.2% 6.17 —
4.7% 21.32 —
29.4% 3.4 —

HT/FT double chance

45.7% 2.19 —
43.7% 2.29 —
39.5% 2.53 —
26.5% 3.77 —
48.6% 2.06 —
41.9% 2.39 —
31.4% 3.18 —
56.8% 1.76 —
65.9% 1.52 —

Total goals

92.9% 1.08 —
74.2% 1.35 —
49.4% 2.02 50.0% 1.93
27.8% 3.6 —
25.8% 3.87 —
50.6% 1.98 50.0% 1.93
72.2% 1.39 —

1st-half goals

70.6% 1.42 —
34.9% 2.86 —

Home team goals

66.5% 1.5 —
29.8% 3.35 —

Away team goals

79.0% 1.27 —
46.5% 2.15 —

Both to score

52.6% 1.9 —

Corners

68.5% 1.46 —
57.6% 1.74 —
46.5% 2.15 —
36.8% 2.72 —
27.6% 3.62 —
42.4% 2.36 —
53.5% 1.87 —
63.2% 1.58 —
72.4% 1.38 —

Home corners

68.1% 1.47 —
52.2% 1.92 —
37.6% 2.66 —

Away corners

62.3% 1.6 —
46.1% 2.17 —
31.7% 3.16 —

Cards

78.9% 1.27 —
62.9% 1.59 —
46.4% 2.15 —
32.2% 3.11 —
37.1% 2.69 —
53.6% 1.87 —
67.8% 1.47 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds