Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-09-20 16:15

Nice Lille

Home 26% 3.79 fair
Draw 25% 3.94 fair
Away 48% 2.07 fair
Expected Goals2.66
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.549%

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 2.66
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 9.53 not yet calibrated
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 4.59 not yet calibrated
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

26.4% 3.79 26.4% 3.60
25.4% 3.94 27.2% 3.50
48.2% 2.07 46.4% 2.05
51.8% 1.93
73.6% 1.36
74.6% 1.34

Half-time result

22.9% 4.36
41.5% 2.41
35.6% 2.81

Half-time double chance

64.4% 1.55
77.1% 1.3
58.5% 1.71

Both halves

5.4% 18.55

HT/FT

15.2% 6.57
5.2% 19.34
9.7% 10.27
15.6% 6.43
16.2% 6.17
4.7% 21.32
29.4% 3.4

HT/FT double chance

45.7% 2.19
43.7% 2.29
39.5% 2.53
26.5% 3.77
48.6% 2.06
41.9% 2.39
31.4% 3.18
56.8% 1.76
65.9% 1.52

Total goals

92.9% 1.08
74.2% 1.35
49.4% 2.02 50.0% 1.93
27.8% 3.6
25.8% 3.87
50.6% 1.98 50.0% 1.93
72.2% 1.39

1st-half goals

70.6% 1.42
34.9% 2.86

Home team goals

66.5% 1.5
29.8% 3.35

Away team goals

79.0% 1.27
46.5% 2.15

Both to score

52.6% 1.9

Corners

68.5% 1.46
57.6% 1.74
46.5% 2.15
36.8% 2.72
27.6% 3.62
42.4% 2.36
53.5% 1.87
63.2% 1.58
72.4% 1.38

Home corners

68.1% 1.47
52.2% 1.92
37.6% 2.66

Away corners

62.3% 1.6
46.1% 2.17
31.7% 3.16

Cards

78.9% 1.27
62.9% 1.59
46.4% 2.15
32.2% 3.11
37.1% 2.69
53.6% 1.87
67.8% 1.47

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds