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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-09-19 19:45

Le Mans – Lorient

Home 37% 2.72 fair
Draw 25% 4.04 fair
Away 39% 2.6 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Le Mans – Lorient
FINAL Actual Result 2–1 Le Mans – Lorient
Expected Goals2.77
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.552%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.77
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.51 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.91 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

36.7% 2.72 35.1% 2.70
24.8% 4.04 28.8% 3.30
38.5% 2.6 36.1% 2.63
61.5% 1.63 —
63.2% 1.58 —
75.2% 1.33 —

Half-time result

31.9% 3.14 —
33.8% 2.96 —
34.4% 2.91 —

Half-time double chance

65.6% 1.52 —
68.1% 1.47 —
66.2% 1.51 —

Both halves

9.0% 11.09 —

HT/FT

25.4% 3.94 —
5.0% 19.96 —
9.6% 10.43 —
14.6% 6.85 —
9.6% 10.46 —
5.1% 19.46 —
27.5% 3.64 —

HT/FT double chance

54.6% 1.83 —
46.0% 2.17 —
30.6% 3.26 —
37.3% 2.68 —
56.1% 1.78 —
39.1% 2.56 —
31.1% 3.22 —
48.4% 2.07 —
56.8% 1.76 —

Total goals

93.8% 1.07 —
76.4% 1.31 —
52.4% 1.91 52.6% 1.80
29.9% 3.35 —
23.6% 4.24 —
47.6% 2.1 47.4% 2.00
70.1% 1.43 —

1st-half goals

81.0% 1.23 —
49.3% 2.03 —

Home team goals

74.6% 1.34 —
39.7% 2.52 —

Away team goals

75.3% 1.33 —
40.9% 2.44 —

Both to score

56.1% 1.78 —

Corners

68.6% 1.46 —
57.8% 1.73 —
47.2% 2.12 —
37.0% 2.7 —
27.6% 3.63 —
42.2% 2.37 —
52.8% 1.89 —
63.0% 1.59 —
72.4% 1.38 —

Home corners

73.4% 1.36 —
58.7% 1.7 —
44.2% 2.26 —

Away corners

55.3% 1.81 —
38.8% 2.57 —
24.9% 4.02 —

Cards

71.0% 1.41 —
52.5% 1.9 —
35.2% 2.84 —
22.1% 4.53 —
47.5% 2.11 —
64.8% 1.54 —
77.9% 1.28 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds