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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-09-18 19:45

Monaco – Lens

Home 47% 2.12 fair
Draw 23% 4.28 fair
Away 29% 3.4 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Monaco – Lens
FINAL Actual Result 2–1 Monaco – Lens
Expected Goals3.02
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.558%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.02
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.36 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.85 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.2% 2.12 46.4% 2.05
23.4% 4.28 25.7% 3.70
29.4% 3.4 28.0% 3.40
70.6% 1.42 —
52.8% 1.89 —
76.6% 1.31 —

Half-time result

35.1% 2.85 —
40.8% 2.45 —
24.1% 4.14 —

Half-time double chance

75.9% 1.32 —
64.9% 1.54 —
59.2% 1.69 —

Both halves

14.3% 7.01 —

HT/FT

27.8% 3.6 —
5.1% 19.61 —
16.1% 6.2 —
13.4% 7.46 —
11.2% 8.9 —
3.3% 30.67 —
4.9% 20.49 —
16.0% 6.25 —

HT/FT double chance

62.4% 1.6 —
57.4% 1.74 —
31.9% 3.13 —
41.0% 2.44 —
49.2% 2.03 —
28.2% 3.55 —
37.7% 2.65 —
46.6% 2.15 —
45.5% 2.2 —

Total goals

95.2% 1.05 —
80.5% 1.24 —
58.0% 1.72 58.7% 1.62
35.8% 2.79 —
19.5% 5.12 —
42.0% 2.38 41.3% 2.30
64.2% 1.56 —

1st-half goals

70.8% 1.41 —
34.8% 2.88 —

Home team goals

82.0% 1.22 —
51.6% 1.94 —

Away team goals

72.8% 1.37 —
37.0% 2.7 —

Both to score

59.6% 1.68 —

Corners

67.1% 1.49 —
55.9% 1.79 —
45.1% 2.22 —
35.0% 2.85 —
26.1% 3.83 —
44.1% 2.27 —
54.9% 1.82 —
64.9% 1.54 —
73.9% 1.35 —

Home corners

65.2% 1.53 —
49.0% 2.04 —
34.5% 2.9 —

Away corners

63.3% 1.58 —
47.1% 2.12 —
32.6% 3.07 —

Cards

81.5% 1.23 —
67.0% 1.49 —
50.8% 1.97 —
36.1% 2.77 —
33.0% 3.03 —
49.2% 2.03 —
63.9% 1.57 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds