Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-06 19:30
Ascoli – Palermo
Home
41%
2.43 fair
Draw
28%
3.53 fair
Away
30%
3.28 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Ascoli – Palermo
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Ascoli – Palermo
Expected Goals2.29
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.540%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
35.8%
→
41.2%
+5.3 pp
Draw
27.8%
→
28.3%
+0.5 pp
Away
36.3%
→
30.5%
-5.8 pp
Over 2.5
40.8%
→
40.3%
-0.6 pp
Both teams to score
46.8%
→
46.1%
-0.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.31 →
2.29
-0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — |
Half-time result
| 21.5% | 4.64 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — |
Both halves
| 9.1% | 11.0 | — |
HT/FT
| 18.0% | 5.56 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.11 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.43 | — | |||
| 9.7% | 10.28 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.32 | — | |||
| 7.1% | 14.06 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.0 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — |
Total goals
| 89.6% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.94 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — |
1st-half goals
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — |
Both to score
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — |
Corners
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — |
Home corners
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
Away corners
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.26 | — |
Cards
| 85.6% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds