Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-10-28 19:00
Carrarese – Arezzo
Home
67%
1.49 fair
Draw
19%
5.24 fair
Away
14%
7.19 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-0
Carrarese – Arezzo
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Carrarese – Arezzo
Expected Goals3.08
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.559%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
68.4%
→
67.0%
-1.4 pp
Draw
17.2%
→
19.1%
+1.9 pp
Away
14.4%
→
13.9%
-0.5 pp
Over 2.5
69.2%
→
59.1%
-10.1 pp
Both teams to score
60.6%
→
52.4%
-8.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.59 →
3.08
-0.51
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.24 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.19 | — | |||
| 86.1% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 9.9% | 10.07 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 90.1% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — |
Both halves
| 17.9% | 5.6 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.28 | — | |||
| 9.2% | 10.88 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.47 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 26.95 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.92 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — |
Total goals
| 95.5% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.37 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — |
1st-half goals
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 10.0% | 10.05 | — |
Home team goals
| 89.1% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — |
Away team goals
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — |
Both to score
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — |
Corners
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — |
Home corners
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — |
Away corners
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — |
Cards
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds