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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-10-16 18:30

Verona – Catanzaro

Home 43% 2.34 fair
Draw 20% 4.96 fair
Away 37% 2.7 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 2-1 Verona – Catanzaro
FINAL Actual Result 2–2 Verona – Catanzaro
Expected Goals4.17
Both teams to score77%
Over 2.578%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 40.0% → 42.8% +2.8 pp
Draw 23.5% → 20.2% -3.3 pp
Away 36.5% → 37.0% +0.6 pp
Over 2.5 66.0% → 78.0% +12.0 pp
Both teams to score 67.5% → 76.7% +9.2 pp
Expected Goals 3.42 → 4.17 +0.75
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 4.17
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.03 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.21 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

42.8% 2.34 —
20.2% 4.96 —
37.0% 2.7 —
62.9% 1.59 —
57.2% 1.75 —
79.8% 1.25 —

Half-time result

35.8% 2.79 —
33.6% 2.98 —
30.6% 3.27 —

Half-time double chance

69.4% 1.44 —
64.2% 1.56 —
66.4% 1.51 —

Both halves

13.4% 7.49 —

HT/FT

26.5% 3.77 —
5.6% 17.79 —
3.6% 27.47 —
12.5% 8.01 —
9.2% 10.86 —
11.9% 8.39 —
3.8% 26.6 —
5.4% 18.66 —
21.5% 4.65 —

HT/FT double chance

53.8% 1.86 —
54.6% 1.83 —
30.4% 3.29 —
41.3% 2.42 —
55.4% 1.8 —
36.1% 2.77 —
30.8% 3.25 —
49.6% 2.01 —
48.0% 2.08 —

Total goals

92.2% 1.09 —
78.0% 1.28 —
59.7% 1.68 —
7.8% 12.76 —
22.0% 4.55 —
40.4% 2.48 —

1st-half goals

82.1% 1.22 —
51.6% 1.94 —

Home team goals

88.4% 1.13 —
63.4% 1.58 —

Away team goals

86.9% 1.15 —
59.8% 1.67 —

Both to score

76.7% 1.3 —

Corners

64.1% 1.56 —
52.6% 1.9 —
41.3% 2.42 —
31.2% 3.21 —
22.8% 4.39 —
47.4% 2.11 —
58.7% 1.7 —
68.8% 1.45 —
77.2% 1.29 —

Home corners

72.5% 1.38 —
57.6% 1.74 —
42.2% 2.37 —

Away corners

49.3% 2.03 —
32.6% 3.07 —
19.8% 5.06 —

Cards

86.3% 1.16 —
72.8% 1.37 —
57.0% 1.75 —
41.4% 2.41 —
27.2% 3.67 —
43.0% 2.33 —
58.6% 1.71 —

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