Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-10-11 17:30
Modena – Verona
Home
54%
1.86 fair
Draw
23%
4.35 fair
Away
23%
4.32 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Modena – Verona
FINAL
Actual Result
3–2
Modena – Verona
Expected Goals2.83
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.554%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
54.0%
→
53.9%
-0.1 pp
Draw
23.4%
→
23.0%
-0.4 pp
Away
22.6%
→
23.1%
+0.6 pp
Over 2.5
53.5%
→
53.5%
0.0 pp
Both teams to score
54.2%
→
53.6%
-0.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.83 →
2.83
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.12 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.7% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — |
Both halves
| 17.3% | 5.77 | — |
HT/FT
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.89 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.49 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.24 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.47 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.93 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.55 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — |
Total goals
| 94.2% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.34 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — |
Both to score
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — |
Corners
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — |
Home corners
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — |
Away corners
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — |
Cards
| 85.4% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds