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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-10-09 18:30

Avellino – Sampdoria

Home 43% 2.35 fair
Draw 28% 3.51 fair
Away 29% 3.45 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Avellino – Sampdoria
FINAL Actual Result 4–1 Avellino – Sampdoria
Expected Goals2.23
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.539%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 42.3% → 42.5% +0.2 pp
Draw 28.6% → 28.5% -0.1 pp
Away 29.1% → 29.0% -0.1 pp
Over 2.5 38.6% → 38.7% +0.1 pp
Both teams to score 44.4% → 44.3% -0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.23 → 2.23 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.23
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.78 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.58 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

42.5% 2.35 —
28.5% 3.51 —
29.0% 3.45 —
71.0% 1.41 —
57.5% 1.74 —
71.5% 1.4 —

Half-time result

35.4% 2.83 —
49.2% 2.03 —
15.4% 6.5 —

Half-time double chance

84.6% 1.18 —
64.6% 1.55 —
50.8% 1.97 —

Both halves

11.0% 9.11 —

HT/FT

26.9% 3.72 —
6.2% 16.23 —
14.5% 6.88 —
19.4% 5.16 —
15.3% 6.54 —
11.3% 8.83 —

HT/FT double chance

67.0% 1.49 —
59.1% 1.69 —
43.2% 2.31 —
37.1% 2.7 —
41.7% 2.4 —
22.8% 4.39 —
38.0% 2.63 —
42.3% 2.36 —
48.9% 2.04 —

Total goals

89.1% 1.12 —
65.7% 1.52 —
38.7% 2.58 —
18.3% 5.45 —
34.3% 2.92 —
61.3% 1.63 —
81.7% 1.22 —

1st-half goals

58.2% 1.72 —
21.9% 4.57 —

Home team goals

71.1% 1.41 —
35.7% 2.8 —

Away team goals

62.4% 1.6 —
25.9% 3.87 —

Both to score

44.3% 2.26 —

Corners

61.3% 1.63 —
49.5% 2.02 —
38.6% 2.59 —
28.7% 3.48 —
20.7% 4.84 —
50.5% 1.98 —
61.5% 1.63 —
71.2% 1.4 —
79.3% 1.26 —

Home corners

58.4% 1.71 —
41.6% 2.4 —
27.1% 3.68 —

Away corners

62.4% 1.6 —
45.3% 2.21 —
30.4% 3.29 —

Cards

89.1% 1.12 —
77.4% 1.29 —
62.5% 1.6 —
47.0% 2.13 —
22.6% 4.42 —
37.5% 2.66 —
53.0% 1.89 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds