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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-11-06 17:30

Dresden – Greuther Furth

Home 51% 1.96 fair
Draw 22% 4.59 fair
Away 27% 3.69 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Dresden – Greuther Furth
FINAL Actual Result 3–0 Dresden – Greuther Furth
Expected Goals3.32
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.565%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 50.7% → 51.1% +0.4 pp
Draw 21.6% → 21.8% +0.3 pp
Away 27.8% → 27.1% -0.6 pp
Over 2.5 66.3% → 64.5% -1.8 pp
Both teams to score 65.6% → 64.1% -1.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.41 → 3.32 -0.09
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.32
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.54 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.45 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

51.1% 1.96 —
21.8% 4.59 —
27.1% 3.69 —
72.9% 1.37 —
48.9% 2.04 —
78.2% 1.28 —

Half-time result

51.0% 1.96 —
31.7% 3.16 —
17.3% 5.78 —

Half-time double chance

82.7% 1.21 —
49.0% 2.04 —
68.3% 1.46 —

Both halves

16.1% 6.2 —

HT/FT

39.8% 2.51 —
7.6% 13.14 —
3.6% 27.93 —
9.9% 10.1 —
11.2% 8.97 —
10.6% 9.43 —
3.0% 32.79 —
12.9% 7.73 —

HT/FT double chance

68.5% 1.46 —
63.9% 1.56 —
33.0% 3.03 —
51.8% 1.93 —
57.7% 1.73 —
27.2% 3.68 —
25.4% 3.93 —
34.8% 2.88 —
37.8% 2.65 —

Total goals

96.5% 1.04 —
84.4% 1.19 —
64.5% 1.55 —
42.4% 2.36 —
15.6% 6.4 —
35.5% 2.82 —
57.6% 1.74 —

1st-half goals

81.7% 1.22 —
51.0% 1.96 —

Home team goals

86.1% 1.16 —
57.8% 1.73 —

Away team goals

74.6% 1.34 —
39.6% 2.53 —

Both to score

64.1% 1.56 —

Corners

77.2% 1.29 —
67.8% 1.48 —
57.2% 1.75 —
47.1% 2.12 —
37.2% 2.68 —
32.2% 3.1 —
42.8% 2.33 —
52.9% 1.89 —
62.8% 1.59 —

Home corners

76.0% 1.32 —
61.7% 1.62 —
47.1% 2.12 —

Away corners

66.6% 1.5 —
50.8% 1.97 —
36.5% 2.74 —

Cards

79.1% 1.26 —
62.4% 1.6 —
44.5% 2.25 —
29.5% 3.39 —
37.6% 2.66 —
55.5% 1.8 —
70.5% 1.42 —

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