Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-11-01 12:30
St Pauli – Nurnberg
Home
53%
1.9 fair
Draw
25%
3.94 fair
Away
22%
4.54 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
St Pauli – Nurnberg
FINAL
Actual Result
1–3
St Pauli – Nurnberg
Expected Goals2.51
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.546%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
51.2%
→
52.6%
+1.4 pp
Draw
24.3%
→
25.4%
+1.1 pp
Away
24.6%
→
22.0%
-2.5 pp
Over 2.5
50.5%
→
46.0%
-4.5 pp
Both teams to score
51.9%
→
47.9%
-3.9 pp
Expected Goals
2.68 →
2.51
-0.17
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.54 | — | |||
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.23 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Both halves
| 16.1% | 6.21 | — |
HT/FT
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.21 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.84 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.23 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.93 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.32 | — | |||
| 10.3% | 9.74 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 72.2% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.71 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — |
Total goals
| 91.7% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.35 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — |
Away team goals
| 60.4% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — |
Both to score
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — |
Corners
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — |
Home corners
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — |
Away corners
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — |
Cards
| 83.0% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds