Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-10-25 12:30
Holstein Kiel – Dresden
Home
44%
2.26 fair
Draw
25%
4.04 fair
Away
31%
3.23 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Holstein Kiel – Dresden
FINAL
Actual Result
3–0
Holstein Kiel – Dresden
Expected Goals2.88
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.555%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
46.3%
→
44.2%
-2.1 pp
Draw
23.4%
→
24.8%
+1.4 pp
Away
30.3%
→
31.0%
+0.7 pp
Over 2.5
58.8%
→
54.8%
-4.0 pp
Both teams to score
60.4%
→
57.8%
-2.6 pp
Expected Goals
3.05 →
2.88
-0.17
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — |
Both halves
| 12.3% | 8.1 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.2% | 4.14 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.76 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.28 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.18 | — | |||
| 7.7% | 12.99 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.27 | — | |||
| 7.5% | 13.39 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — |
Total goals
| 94.2% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.56 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — |
Away team goals
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — |
Both to score
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Corners
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — |
Home corners
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — |
Away corners
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — |
Cards
| 86.5% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds