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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-10-16 16:30

Holstein Kiel – Hertha

Home 37% 2.67 fair
Draw 25% 4.0 fair
Away 38% 2.66 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Holstein Kiel – Hertha
FINAL Actual Result 0–0 Holstein Kiel – Hertha
Expected Goals2.85
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.554%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 37.6% → 37.4% -0.2 pp
Draw 25.4% → 25.0% -0.5 pp
Away 36.9% → 37.6% +0.7 pp
Over 2.5 54.9% → 54.5% -0.4 pp
Both teams to score 58.5% → 57.6% -0.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.88 → 2.85 -0.03
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.85
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.67 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.68 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

37.4% 2.67 —
25.0% 4.0 —
37.6% 2.66 —
62.4% 1.6 —
62.6% 1.6 —
75.0% 1.33 —

Half-time result

28.9% 3.45 —
40.0% 2.5 —
31.1% 3.22 —

Half-time double chance

69.0% 1.45 —
71.0% 1.41 —
60.0% 1.67 —

Both halves

9.6% 10.37 —

HT/FT

21.6% 4.63 —
5.1% 19.72 —
13.4% 7.49 —
14.3% 6.99 —
12.3% 8.11 —
5.6% 17.86 —
23.0% 4.35 —

HT/FT double chance

54.4% 1.84 —
49.6% 2.02 —
34.0% 2.94 —
34.7% 2.88 —
49.3% 2.03 —
35.9% 2.78 —
35.7% 2.8 —
51.1% 1.96 —
55.2% 1.81 —

Total goals

94.4% 1.06 —
78.1% 1.28 —
54.5% 1.84 —
31.6% 3.16 —
21.9% 4.57 —
45.5% 2.2 —
68.4% 1.46 —

1st-half goals

72.8% 1.37 —
37.3% 2.68 —

Home team goals

76.1% 1.31 —
41.5% 2.41 —

Away team goals

76.0% 1.32 —
41.7% 2.4 —

Both to score

57.6% 1.73 —

Corners

78.2% 1.28 —
69.1% 1.45 —
58.8% 1.7 —
47.8% 2.09 —
38.2% 2.62 —
30.9% 3.24 —
41.2% 2.43 —
52.2% 1.92 —
61.8% 1.62 —

Home corners

77.8% 1.29 —
64.2% 1.56 —
49.9% 2.0 —

Away corners

66.4% 1.51 —
50.3% 1.99 —
35.6% 2.81 —

Cards

89.1% 1.12 —
77.7% 1.29 —
63.5% 1.57 —
48.6% 2.06 —
22.3% 4.49 —
36.5% 2.74 —
51.4% 1.95 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds