Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-10-16 16:30
Cottbus – Nurnberg
Home
49%
2.06 fair
Draw
19%
5.18 fair
Away
32%
3.11 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Cottbus – Nurnberg
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Cottbus – Nurnberg
Expected Goals4.36
Both teams to score78%
Over 2.581%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
54.1%
→
48.5%
-5.6 pp
Draw
18.4%
→
19.3%
+0.9 pp
Away
27.4%
→
32.2%
+4.7 pp
Over 2.5
81.7%
→
81.2%
-0.5 pp
Both teams to score
77.4%
→
78.2%
+0.7 pp
Expected Goals
4.44 →
4.36
-0.08
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 19.3% | 5.18 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — |
Both halves
| 15.7% | 6.36 | — |
HT/FT
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.53 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.61 | — | |||
| 8.0% | 12.47 | — | |||
| 7.7% | 12.95 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.23 | — | |||
| 7.5% | 13.33 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.42 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — |
Total goals
| 93.0% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.35 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.31 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.71 | — |
1st-half goals
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — |
Home team goals
| 91.0% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — |
Away team goals
| 85.9% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — |
Both to score
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — |
Corners
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — |
Home corners
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — |
Away corners
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — |
Cards
| 83.7% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds