Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-09-20 15:15

Ath Madrid Real Madrid

Home 27% 3.74 fair
Draw 22% 4.62 fair
Away 52% 1.94 fair
Expected Goals3.33
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.564%

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 3.33
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 9.96 not yet calibrated
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 4.51 not yet calibrated
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

26.8% 3.74 26.4% 3.60
21.7% 4.62 25.0% 3.80
51.6% 1.94 48.7% 1.95
48.4% 2.07
73.2% 1.37
78.3% 1.28

Half-time result

24.0% 4.17
36.9% 2.71
39.2% 2.55

Half-time double chance

60.9% 1.64
76.0% 1.32
63.1% 1.58

Both halves

6.0% 16.56

HT/FT

15.2% 6.57
5.0% 19.92
3.8% 26.6
9.3% 10.8
11.4% 8.76
16.2% 6.17
5.2% 19.08
31.6% 3.16

HT/FT double chance

40.9% 2.45
44.4% 2.25
36.4% 2.75
27.7% 3.6
52.9% 1.89
45.6% 2.19
28.2% 3.55
59.4% 1.68
64.5% 1.55

Total goals

96.4% 1.04
84.3% 1.19
64.3% 1.55 65.6% 1.44
42.5% 2.35
15.7% 6.37
35.7% 2.8 34.4% 2.75
57.5% 1.74

1st-half goals

76.3% 1.31
41.6% 2.4

Home team goals

74.4% 1.34
39.7% 2.52

Away team goals

86.0% 1.16
58.0% 1.73

Both to score

64.0% 1.56

Corners

72.7% 1.37
62.2% 1.61
51.4% 1.95
41.1% 2.43
31.6% 3.16
37.8% 2.65
48.6% 2.06
58.9% 1.7
68.4% 1.46

Home corners

70.0% 1.43
54.8% 1.83
40.0% 2.5

Away corners

66.1% 1.51
50.4% 1.98
36.3% 2.76

Cards

76.8% 1.3
61.1% 1.64
45.4% 2.2
31.0% 3.23
38.9% 2.57
54.6% 1.83
69.0% 1.45

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds