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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-09-19 15:15

Ath Bilbao – Alaves

Home 58% 1.71 fair
Draw 23% 4.36 fair
Away 19% 5.35 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-0 Ath Bilbao – Alaves
FINAL Actual Result 0–0 Ath Bilbao – Alaves
Expected Goals2.69
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.550%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.69
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.98 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.03 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

58.4% 1.71 58.4% 1.62
22.9% 4.36 23.6% 4.00
18.7% 5.35 18.0% 5.25
81.3% 1.23 —
41.6% 2.4 —
77.0% 1.3 —

Half-time result

36.1% 2.77 —
48.0% 2.09 —
16.0% 6.26 —

Half-time double chance

84.0% 1.19 —
63.9% 1.56 —
52.0% 1.92 —

Both halves

18.4% 5.44 —

HT/FT

30.9% 3.24 —
3.8% 26.18 —
24.1% 4.14 —
15.0% 6.67 —
8.8% 11.34 —
3.4% 29.85 —
4.1% 24.15 —
8.5% 11.79 —

HT/FT double chance

73.8% 1.35 —
65.2% 1.53 —
29.0% 3.45 —
42.2% 2.37 —
44.1% 2.27 —
17.8% 5.61 —
46.6% 2.15 —
44.8% 2.23 —
36.4% 2.74 —

Total goals

93.2% 1.07 —
74.8% 1.34 —
50.4% 1.98 50.6% 1.90
28.2% 3.55 —
25.2% 3.97 —
49.6% 2.02 49.4% 1.95
71.8% 1.39 —

1st-half goals

60.3% 1.66 —
23.9% 4.19 —

Home team goals

83.2% 1.2 —
53.4% 1.87 —

Away team goals

59.2% 1.69 —
22.5% 4.45 —

Both to score

49.3% 2.03 —

Corners

72.5% 1.38 —
62.0% 1.61 —
51.7% 1.93 —
41.4% 2.42 —
32.1% 3.12 —
38.0% 2.63 —
48.3% 2.07 —
58.6% 1.71 —
67.9% 1.47 —

Home corners

80.4% 1.24 —
67.9% 1.47 —
54.5% 1.83 —

Away corners

50.6% 1.98 —
34.0% 2.94 —
21.3% 4.69 —

Cards

81.6% 1.23 —
67.4% 1.48 —
52.6% 1.9 —
38.5% 2.6 —
32.6% 3.07 —
47.3% 2.11 —
61.5% 1.63 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds