Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-09-19 19:00

Ajax – Excelsior

Home 79% 1.27 fair
Draw 13% 7.95 fair
Away 9% 11.24 fair
Expected Goals3.97
Most Likely Score3-0
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.576%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 3.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.59 not yet calibrated
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.38 not yet calibrated
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

78.5% 1.27 77.8% 1.22
12.6% 7.95 13.6% 7.00
8.9% 11.24 8.6% 11.00
91.1% 1.1 —
21.5% 4.66 —
87.4% 1.14 —

Half-time result

61.8% 1.62 —
27.6% 3.62 —
10.6% 9.42 —

Half-time double chance

89.4% 1.12 —
38.2% 2.62 —
72.4% 1.38 —

Both halves

39.8% 2.52 —

HT/FT

57.5% 1.74 —
3.2% 31.06 —
17.6% 5.68 —
6.5% 15.31 —
3.5% 28.82 —
3.4% 29.59 —
4.4% 22.73 —

HT/FT double chance

84.9% 1.18 —
79.6% 1.26 —
14.2% 7.02 —
67.0% 1.49 —
66.3% 1.51 —
11.5% 8.71 —
30.3% 3.29 —
28.9% 3.46 —
17.2% 5.8 —

Total goals

90.5% 1.1 —
75.5% 1.32 76.2% 1.25
55.8% 1.79 —
9.4% 10.58 —
24.5% 4.09 23.8% 4.00
44.2% 2.26 —

1st-half goals

82.5% 1.21 —
51.8% 1.93 —

Home team goals

95.1% 1.05 —
80.2% 1.25 —

Away team goals

61.5% 1.63 —
24.7% 4.05 —

Both to score

58.4% 1.71 —

Corners

68.8% 1.45 —
58.4% 1.71 —
47.6% 2.1 —
37.4% 2.67 —
28.4% 3.52 —
41.6% 2.41 —
52.4% 1.91 —
62.6% 1.6 —
71.6% 1.4 —

Home corners

80.7% 1.24 —
68.6% 1.46 —
55.2% 1.81 —

Away corners

42.0% 2.38 —
25.9% 3.86 —
14.6% 6.85 —

Cards

61.1% 1.64 —
42.3% 2.36 —
26.8% 3.74 —
15.9% 6.29 —
57.7% 1.73 —
73.2% 1.37 —
84.1% 1.19 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds