Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-09-19 19:00
Ajax – Excelsior
Home
79%
1.27 fair
Draw
13%
7.95 fair
Away
9%
11.24 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
3-0
Ajax – Excelsior
FINAL
Actual Result
2–2
Ajax – Excelsior
Expected Goals3.97
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.576%
Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ
Prediction history
1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 78.5% | 1.27 | 77.8% | 1.22 | ||
| 12.6% | 7.95 | 13.6% | 7.00 | ||
| 8.9% | 11.24 | 8.6% | 11.00 | ||
| 91.1% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.66 | — | |||
| 87.4% | 1.14 | — |
Half-time result
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.62 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.42 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 89.4% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — |
Both halves
| 39.8% | 2.52 | — |
HT/FT
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.06 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.68 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.31 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.82 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.59 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.73 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.02 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 11.5% | 8.71 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.8 | — |
Total goals
| 90.5% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | 76.2% | 1.25 | ||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.58 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.09 | 23.8% | 4.00 | ||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — |
1st-half goals
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — |
Home team goals
| 95.1% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — |
Away team goals
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — |
Both to score
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — |
Corners
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — |
Away corners
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.85 | — |
Cards
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.29 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 84.1% | 1.19 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds