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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-09-20 14:00

Bournemouth – Liverpool

Home 30% 3.38 fair
Draw 23% 4.31 fair
Away 47% 2.12 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Bournemouth – Liverpool
FINAL Actual Result 0–1 Bournemouth – Liverpool
Expected Goals3.24
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.563%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.24
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.07 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.35 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

29.6% 3.38 29.7% 3.20
23.2% 4.31 25.0% 3.80
47.2% 2.12 45.3% 2.10
52.8% 1.9 —
70.4% 1.42 —
76.8% 1.3 —

Half-time result

26.4% 3.78 —
40.8% 2.45 —
32.8% 3.05 —

Half-time double chance

67.2% 1.49 —
73.6% 1.36 —
59.2% 1.69 —

Both halves

7.1% 14.12 —

HT/FT

16.8% 5.97 —
5.8% 17.36 —
3.9% 25.58 —
10.7% 9.35 —
12.7% 7.86 —
17.3% 5.77 —
4.7% 21.32 —
26.0% 3.84 —

HT/FT double chance

46.0% 2.18 —
48.7% 2.05 —
39.7% 2.52 —
29.3% 3.41 —
48.8% 2.05 —
40.4% 2.48 —
30.2% 3.31 —
56.1% 1.78 —
60.8% 1.65 —

Total goals

96.3% 1.04 —
83.3% 1.2 —
62.5% 1.6 63.7% 1.50
40.8% 2.45 —
16.7% 6.0 —
37.5% 2.67 36.3% 2.63
59.2% 1.69 —

1st-half goals

71.9% 1.39 —
36.2% 2.76 —

Home team goals

75.8% 1.32 —
41.1% 2.43 —

Away team goals

83.9% 1.19 —
54.7% 1.83 —

Both to score

63.5% 1.58 —

Corners

81.0% 1.23 —
72.1% 1.39 —
62.5% 1.6 —
52.2% 1.91 —
42.3% 2.36 —
27.9% 3.58 —
37.5% 2.67 —
47.8% 2.09 —
57.7% 1.73 —

Home corners

70.9% 1.41 —
55.5% 1.8 —
40.6% 2.46 —

Away corners

78.0% 1.28 —
64.6% 1.55 —
50.9% 1.96 —

Cards

75.6% 1.32 —
59.0% 1.69 —
42.6% 2.35 —
28.6% 3.49 —
41.0% 2.44 —
57.4% 1.74 —
71.4% 1.4 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds