Fixtures / EPL / 2026-09-19 15:00
Brighton – Arsenal
Home
19%
5.33 fair
Draw
22%
4.48 fair
Away
59%
1.7 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Brighton – Arsenal
FINAL
Actual Result
3–0
Brighton – Arsenal
Expected Goals2.86
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.555%
Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ
Prediction history
1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 18.8% | 5.33 | 18.9% | 5.00 | ||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | 24.3% | 3.90 | ||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | 56.8% | 1.67 | ||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 15.0% | 6.66 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 85.0% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — |
Both halves
| 3.1% | 32.47 | — |
HT/FT
| 9.3% | 10.8 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 26.74 | — | |||
| 7.8% | 12.87 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.62 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.49 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.32 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.96 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — |
Total goals
| 94.3% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | 54.8% | 1.73 | ||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | 45.2% | 2.10 | ||
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — |
Home team goals
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — |
Away team goals
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — |
Both to score
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — |
Corners
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — |
Home corners
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — |
Away corners
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — |
Cards
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds