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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-09-18 20:00

Brentford – Chelsea

Home 37% 2.72 fair
Draw 24% 4.2 fair
Away 39% 2.54 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Brentford – Chelsea
FINAL Actual Result 3–0 Brentford – Chelsea
Expected Goals3.25
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.563%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.25
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.49 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.7 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

36.8% 2.72 36.9% 2.55
23.8% 4.2 24.8% 3.80
39.4% 2.54 38.4% 2.45
60.6% 1.65 —
63.2% 1.58 —
76.2% 1.31 —

Half-time result

33.8% 2.96 —
36.4% 2.75 —
29.9% 3.35 —

Half-time double chance

70.1% 1.43 —
66.2% 1.51 —
63.6% 1.57 —

Both halves

9.7% 10.36 —

HT/FT

23.9% 4.18 —
6.3% 15.75 —
3.5% 28.74 —
10.7% 9.33 —
12.5% 7.97 —
13.1% 7.63 —
4.9% 20.41 —
22.8% 4.38 —

HT/FT double chance

53.5% 1.87 —
51.2% 1.95 —
35.5% 2.82 —
37.4% 2.68 —
52.4% 1.91 —
37.5% 2.67 —
30.3% 3.3 —
48.8% 2.05 —
53.3% 1.87 —

Total goals

95.8% 1.04 —
83.0% 1.21 —
62.8% 1.59 63.7% 1.50
41.4% 2.42 —
17.0% 5.87 —
37.2% 2.69 36.3% 2.63
58.6% 1.71 —

1st-half goals

78.3% 1.28 —
45.9% 2.18 —

Home team goals

79.8% 1.25 —
47.4% 2.11 —

Away team goals

80.6% 1.24 —
49.4% 2.02 —

Both to score

64.6% 1.55 —

Corners

76.8% 1.3 —
67.3% 1.49 —
56.9% 1.76 —
46.6% 2.14 —
36.9% 2.71 —
32.7% 3.06 —
43.1% 2.32 —
53.4% 1.87 —
63.1% 1.58 —

Home corners

66.1% 1.51 —
49.8% 2.01 —
34.8% 2.88 —

Away corners

76.6% 1.3 —
62.4% 1.6 —
48.3% 2.07 —

Cards

79.3% 1.26 —
64.2% 1.56 —
48.1% 2.08 —
33.7% 2.96 —
35.8% 2.79 —
51.9% 1.93 —
66.3% 1.51 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds