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Fixtures / Scotland / 2026-12-02

St Johnstone – St Mirren

Home 41% 2.43 fair
Draw 28% 3.54 fair
Away 31% 3.27 fair
Expected Goals2.25
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.539%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 37.3% → 41.2% +3.9 pp
Draw 29.5% → 28.2% -1.3 pp
Away 33.2% → 30.6% -2.7 pp
Over 2.5 37.8% → 39.3% +1.5 pp
Both teams to score 44.8% → 45.3% +0.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.2 → 2.25 +0.05
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.25
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.16 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.75 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

41.2% 2.43 —
28.2% 3.54 —
30.6% 3.27 —
69.4% 1.44 —
58.8% 1.7 —
71.8% 1.39 —

Half-time result

24.7% 4.04 —
47.8% 2.09 —
27.4% 3.65 —

Half-time double chance

72.6% 1.38 —
75.3% 1.33 —
52.2% 1.92 —

Both halves

9.4% 10.59 —

HT/FT

19.9% 5.03 —
3.8% 26.04 —
18.3% 5.46 —
18.8% 5.32 —
10.8% 9.29 —
3.0% 33.22 —
5.6% 17.73 —
18.8% 5.32 —

HT/FT double chance

60.8% 1.65 —
50.0% 2.0 —
34.4% 2.91 —
32.4% 3.09 —
42.7% 2.34 —
29.3% 3.42 —
45.7% 2.19 —
50.8% 1.97 —
54.0% 1.85 —

Total goals

89.5% 1.12 —
65.9% 1.52 —
39.3% 2.55 —
19.1% 5.22 —
34.1% 2.93 —
60.7% 1.65 —
80.8% 1.24 —

1st-half goals

61.3% 1.63 —
24.4% 4.1 —

Home team goals

71.1% 1.41 —
34.7% 2.88 —

Away team goals

63.7% 1.57 —
27.0% 3.71 —

Both to score

45.3% 2.21 —

Corners

74.6% 1.34 —
64.2% 1.56 —
53.4% 1.87 —
43.3% 2.31 —
33.4% 2.99 —
35.8% 2.79 —
46.6% 2.15 —
56.7% 1.76 —
66.6% 1.5 —

Home corners

65.2% 1.53 —
48.5% 2.06 —
33.7% 2.97 —

Away corners

73.6% 1.36 —
59.4% 1.68 —
44.8% 2.23 —

Cards

69.4% 1.44 —
50.1% 1.99 —
32.4% 3.09 —
19.5% 5.13 —
49.9% 2.01 —
67.6% 1.48 —
80.5% 1.24 —

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