Newcastle – Man United
Home
45%
2.22 fair
Draw
23%
4.34 fair
Away
32%
3.13 fair
Expected Goals3.2
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.562%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
43.0%
→
45.0%
+2.1 pp
Draw
23.8%
→
23.0%
-0.7 pp
Away
33.3%
→
32.0%
-1.3 pp
Over 2.5
61.6%
→
61.8%
+0.2 pp
Both teams to score
63.3%
→
63.3%
+0.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.19 →
3.2
+0.01
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.34 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — |
Both halves
| 13.6% | 7.33 | — |
HT/FT
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.67 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.15 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.14 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.92 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.33 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.81 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.72 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — |
Total goals
| 96.0% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.92 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — |
Both to score
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — |
Corners
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Home corners
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — |
Away corners
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — |
Cards
| 76.6% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds