Man City – Leeds
Home
64%
1.57 fair
Draw
21%
4.79 fair
Away
15%
6.51 fair
Expected Goals2.78
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.552%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
65.3%
→
63.8%
-1.5 pp
Draw
20.0%
→
20.9%
+0.8 pp
Away
14.7%
→
15.4%
+0.7 pp
Over 2.5
55.8%
→
52.4%
-3.4 pp
Both teams to score
50.1%
→
47.8%
-2.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.9 →
2.78
-0.12
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.79 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.51 | — | |||
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — |
Half-time result
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.27 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — |
Both halves
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — |
HT/FT
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.24 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.59 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.72 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.78 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.42 | — | |||
| 8.1% | 12.38 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 6.0 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — |
Total goals
| 93.8% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.23 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.43 | — |
Home team goals
| 85.5% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.71 | — |
Away team goals
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.95 | — |
Both to score
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — |
Corners
| 72.2% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — |
Home corners
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
Away corners
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.67 | — |
Cards
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.41 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds