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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-02

Liverpool – Sunderland

Home 62% 1.61 fair
Draw 22% 4.58 fair
Away 16% 6.29 fair
Expected Goals2.76
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 58.7% → 62.3% +3.5 pp
Draw 22.3% → 21.8% -0.5 pp
Away 19.0% → 15.9% -3.1 pp
Over 2.5 54.3% → 52.1% -2.2 pp
Both teams to score 52.5% → 48.4% -4.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.86 → 2.76 -0.1
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.76
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.86 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.41 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

62.3% 1.61 —
21.8% 4.58 —
15.9% 6.29 —
84.1% 1.19 —
37.7% 2.65 —
78.2% 1.28 —

Half-time result

49.1% 2.04 —
40.4% 2.48 —
10.5% 9.52 —

Half-time double chance

89.5% 1.12 —
50.9% 1.97 —
59.6% 1.68 —

Both halves

22.9% 4.36 —

HT/FT

41.9% 2.39 —
5.5% 18.18 —
18.6% 5.37 —
13.6% 7.33 —
8.1% 12.32 —
6.0% 16.64 —

HT/FT double chance

79.6% 1.26 —
70.4% 1.42 —
29.0% 3.44 —
51.8% 1.93 —
51.4% 1.94 —
16.0% 6.26 —
36.7% 2.72 —
34.5% 2.9 —
30.5% 3.28 —

Total goals

93.3% 1.07 —
76.1% 1.31 —
52.1% 1.92 —
30.0% 3.34 —
23.9% 4.19 —
47.9% 2.09 —
70.0% 1.43 —

1st-half goals

66.8% 1.5 —
30.3% 3.3 —

Home team goals

84.9% 1.18 —
57.1% 1.75 —

Away team goals

56.9% 1.76 —
20.8% 4.8 —

Both to score

48.4% 2.06 —

Corners

71.4% 1.4 —
61.1% 1.64 —
50.3% 1.99 —
39.8% 2.51 —
30.5% 3.28 —
38.9% 2.57 —
49.7% 2.01 —
60.2% 1.66 —
69.5% 1.44 —

Home corners

82.8% 1.21 —
71.1% 1.41 —
58.2% 1.72 —

Away corners

42.7% 2.34 —
26.6% 3.75 —
15.1% 6.63 —

Cards

76.5% 1.31 —
59.9% 1.67 —
43.1% 2.32 —
29.3% 3.41 —
40.1% 2.49 —
56.9% 1.76 —
70.7% 1.42 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds