Chelsea – Crystal Palace
Home
58%
1.72 fair
Draw
22%
4.52 fair
Away
20%
5.03 fair
Expected Goals3.04
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.558%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
53.2%
→
58.0%
+4.8 pp
Draw
23.1%
→
22.1%
-1.0 pp
Away
23.7%
→
19.9%
-3.9 pp
Over 2.5
56.0%
→
58.5%
+2.5 pp
Both teams to score
56.6%
→
56.4%
-0.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.93 →
3.04
+0.11
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.03 | — | |||
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.45 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — |
Both halves
| 21.1% | 4.73 | — |
HT/FT
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.76 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.85 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.7 | — | |||
| 8.1% | 12.38 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.57 | — | |||
| 9.9% | 10.08 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.78 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — |
Total goals
| 94.8% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.2 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — |
Home team goals
| 85.5% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — |
Both to score
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — |
Corners
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — |
Home corners
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — |
Away corners
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — |
Cards
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds