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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-02

Brentford – Arsenal

Home 21% 4.84 fair
Draw 25% 4.02 fair
Away 54% 1.84 fair
Expected Goals2.51
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 21.9% → 20.7% -1.2 pp
Draw 25.1% → 24.9% -0.2 pp
Away 53.0% → 54.5% +1.4 pp
Over 2.5 48.5% → 45.9% -2.6 pp
Both teams to score 50.2% → 47.4% -2.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.61 → 2.51 -0.1
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.51
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.8 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.74 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

20.7% 4.84 —
24.9% 4.02 —
54.5% 1.84 —
45.5% 2.2 —
79.3% 1.26 —
75.1% 1.33 —

Half-time result

19.0% 5.26 —
44.5% 2.25 —
36.5% 2.74 —

Half-time double chance

63.5% 1.57 —
81.0% 1.23 —
55.5% 1.8 —

Both halves

3.5% 28.65 —

HT/FT

11.5% 8.73 —
4.8% 20.7 —
8.1% 12.29 —
16.0% 6.26 —
20.4% 4.9 —
4.1% 24.57 —
31.3% 3.19 —

HT/FT double chance

40.4% 2.47 —
42.7% 2.34 —
44.0% 2.28 —
21.4% 4.67 —
46.6% 2.15 —
43.0% 2.33 —
29.2% 3.42 —
60.9% 1.64 —
71.8% 1.39 —

Total goals

91.6% 1.09 —
71.3% 1.4 —
45.9% 2.18 —
24.7% 4.05 —
28.7% 3.48 —
54.1% 1.85 —
75.3% 1.33 —

1st-half goals

65.7% 1.52 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Home team goals

59.0% 1.7 —
22.6% 4.43 —

Away team goals

80.0% 1.25 —
48.2% 2.08 —

Both to score

47.4% 2.11 —

Corners

70.8% 1.41 —
60.3% 1.66 —
49.3% 2.03 —
39.3% 2.55 —
30.1% 3.32 —
39.7% 2.52 —
50.7% 1.97 —
60.7% 1.65 —
69.9% 1.43 —

Home corners

50.6% 1.98 —
33.6% 2.98 —
20.6% 4.86 —

Away corners

79.1% 1.26 —
65.8% 1.52 —
52.0% 1.92 —

Cards

67.4% 1.48 —
49.3% 2.03 —
32.7% 3.06 —
20.3% 4.94 —
50.7% 1.97 —
67.3% 1.49 —
79.7% 1.25 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds