Bournemouth – Brighton
Home
36%
2.79 fair
Draw
25%
4.03 fair
Away
39%
2.55 fair
Expected Goals2.96
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
36.9%
→
35.9%
-1.1 pp
Draw
24.7%
→
24.8%
+0.2 pp
Away
38.4%
→
39.3%
+0.9 pp
Over 2.5
57.6%
→
56.2%
-1.3 pp
Both teams to score
60.5%
→
59.9%
-0.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.99 →
2.96
-0.03
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.5% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — |
Both halves
| 8.8% | 11.42 | — |
HT/FT
| 25.9% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 8.0% | 12.56 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.36 | — | |||
| 9.0% | 11.1 | — | |||
| 13.4% | 7.49 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.67 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.57 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.0 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.72 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — |
Total goals
| 94.8% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.83 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — |
Away team goals
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — |
Both to score
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — |
Corners
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — |
Home corners
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — |
Away corners
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.77 | — |
Cards
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds