Aston Villa – Everton
Home
47%
2.15 fair
Draw
26%
3.79 fair
Away
27%
3.7 fair
Expected Goals2.51
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.546%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
45.2%
→
46.6%
+1.4 pp
Draw
26.9%
→
26.4%
-0.5 pp
Away
27.9%
→
27.0%
-0.9 pp
Over 2.5
43.9%
→
45.9%
+2.0 pp
Both teams to score
47.9%
→
50.1%
+2.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.41 →
2.51
+0.1
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.14 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — |
Both halves
| 12.7% | 7.89 | — |
HT/FT
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.2 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.36 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.86 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.1 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.78 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.86 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.17 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — |
Total goals
| 91.7% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — |
1st-half goals
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.17 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — |
Both to score
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — |
Corners
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
Home corners
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — |
Away corners
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — |
Cards
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds