Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-09-16 18:00

Ath Madrid Osasuna

Home 70% 1.42 fair
Draw 19% 5.39 fair
Away 11% 9.0 fair
Expected Goals2.87
Most Likely Score
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.555%

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 2.87
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 9.31 not yet calibrated
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 4.7 not yet calibrated
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

70.3% 1.42 68.8% 1.38
18.6% 5.39 20.0% 4.75
11.1% 9.0 11.2% 8.50
88.9% 1.12
29.7% 3.37
81.4% 1.23

Half-time result

47.7% 2.1
40.0% 2.5
12.2% 8.16

Half-time double chance

87.8% 1.14
52.3% 1.91
60.0% 1.67

Both halves

28.1% 3.56

HT/FT

43.6% 2.29
3.4% 29.33
23.4% 4.27
11.7% 8.58
4.9% 20.28
3.2% 30.96
3.5% 28.57
5.5% 18.08

HT/FT double chance

82.2% 1.22
72.7% 1.38
20.6% 4.84
53.8% 1.86
53.1% 1.88
13.1% 7.64
41.8% 2.39
37.1% 2.69
25.6% 3.91

Total goals

94.3% 1.06
78.2% 1.28
54.6% 1.83 54.8% 1.73
32.7% 3.06
21.8% 4.58
45.4% 2.2 45.2% 2.10
67.3% 1.49

1st-half goals

68.7% 1.46
32.0% 3.12

Home team goals

88.4% 1.13
63.3% 1.58

Away team goals

51.6% 1.94
16.5% 6.05

Both to score

45.7% 2.19

Corners

66.5% 1.5
55.2% 1.81
44.4% 2.25
34.5% 2.9
25.8% 3.87
44.8% 2.23
55.6% 1.8
65.5% 1.53
74.2% 1.35

Home corners

76.7% 1.3
63.2% 1.58
50.0% 2.0

Away corners

45.1% 2.22
28.2% 3.55
16.7% 6.0

Cards

78.7% 1.27
63.4% 1.58
47.6% 2.1
33.9% 2.95
36.6% 2.73
52.4% 1.91
66.1% 1.51

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds