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Fixtures / National League / 2026-09-15 19:45

Worthing – Hornchurch

Home 44% 2.28 fair
Draw 24% 4.25 fair
Away 33% 3.07 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score Worthing – Hornchurch
FINAL Actual Result 1–0 Worthing – Hornchurch
Expected Goals3.1
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.561%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 3.1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.91 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.18 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

44.0% 2.28 43.5% 2.10
23.5% 4.25 24.7% 3.70
32.5% 3.07 31.8% 2.88
67.5% 1.48 —
56.0% 1.78 —
76.5% 1.31 —

Half-time result

41.9% 2.39 —
45.9% 2.18 —
12.2% 8.21 —

Half-time double chance

87.8% 1.14 —
58.1% 1.72 —
54.1% 1.85 —

Both halves

13.2% 7.6 —

HT/FT

28.5% 3.51 —
7.8% 12.74 —
5.5% 18.12 —
14.1% 7.1 —
13.6% 7.36 —
18.2% 5.48 —
8.8% 11.4 —

HT/FT double chance

64.0% 1.56 —
66.4% 1.51 —
45.2% 2.21 —
39.8% 2.51 —
44.1% 2.27 —
24.2% 4.13 —
31.1% 3.22 —
42.4% 2.36 —
42.7% 2.34 —

Total goals

95.4% 1.05 —
81.5% 1.23 —
60.6% 1.65 60.0% 1.57
38.0% 2.64 —
18.5% 5.4 —
39.4% 2.54 40.0% 2.35
62.1% 1.61 —

1st-half goals

61.4% 1.63 —
24.7% 4.05 —

Home team goals

81.4% 1.23 —
50.6% 1.98 —

Away team goals

76.1% 1.31 —
42.0% 2.38 —

Both to score

62.1% 1.61 —

Corners

85.2% 1.17 —
75.4% 1.33 —
64.7% 1.55 —
52.7% 1.9 —
41.2% 2.43 —
24.6% 4.06 —
35.3% 2.83 —
47.3% 2.11 —
58.8% 1.7 —

Home corners

83.7% 1.19 —
69.3% 1.44 —
53.3% 1.88 —

Away corners

73.8% 1.36 —
56.3% 1.78 —
38.9% 2.57 —

Cards

75.0% 1.33 —
57.2% 1.75 —
39.6% 2.53 —
25.1% 3.98 —
42.8% 2.34 —
60.4% 1.66 —
74.9% 1.34 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds