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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-01

York – Shrewsbury

Home 62% 1.62 fair
Draw 20% 5.06 fair
Away 18% 5.44 fair
Expected Goals3.37
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.565%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 76.1% → 61.9% -14.2 pp
Draw 14.6% → 19.8% +5.2 pp
Away 9.3% → 18.4% +9.0 pp
Over 2.5 66.9% → 65.3% -1.6 pp
Both teams to score 52.4% → 60.9% +8.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.46 → 3.37 -0.09
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.37
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.14 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.23 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

61.9% 1.62 —
19.8% 5.06 —
18.4% 5.44 —
81.6% 1.23 —
38.1% 2.62 —
80.2% 1.25 —

Half-time result

53.6% 1.87 —
34.5% 2.9 —
11.9% 8.4 —

Half-time double chance

88.1% 1.14 —
46.4% 2.15 —
65.5% 1.53 —

Both halves

23.5% 4.25 —

HT/FT

44.5% 2.25 —
6.4% 15.53 —
15.2% 6.56 —
10.6% 9.42 —
8.7% 11.53 —
7.1% 14.06 —

HT/FT double chance

76.8% 1.3 —
71.0% 1.41 —
28.3% 3.53 —
55.8% 1.79 —
56.3% 1.78 —
18.8% 5.31 —
30.7% 3.26 —
33.1% 3.02 —
29.1% 3.44 —

Total goals

96.5% 1.04 —
85.1% 1.18 —
65.3% 1.53 —
43.7% 2.29 —
14.9% 6.71 —
34.7% 2.88 —
56.3% 1.78 —

1st-half goals

75.5% 1.33 —
41.9% 2.39 —

Home team goals

89.0% 1.12 —
65.4% 1.53 —

Away team goals

68.4% 1.46 —
31.4% 3.18 —

Both to score

60.9% 1.64 —

Corners

66.0% 1.52 —
54.1% 1.85 —
42.8% 2.34 —
32.2% 3.1 —
23.5% 4.25 —
45.9% 2.18 —
57.2% 1.75 —
67.8% 1.48 —
76.5% 1.31 —

Home corners

70.1% 1.43 —
54.1% 1.85 —
38.9% 2.57 —

Away corners

56.0% 1.78 —
38.6% 2.59 —
24.8% 4.03 —

Cards

76.3% 1.31 —
58.5% 1.71 —
40.9% 2.45 —
26.3% 3.81 —
41.5% 2.41 —
59.1% 1.69 —
73.7% 1.36 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds