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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-01

Northampton – Fleetwood Town

Home 36% 2.77 fair
Draw 36% 2.81 fair
Away 28% 3.54 fair
Expected Goals1.56
Most Likely Score0-0
Both teams to score29%
Over 2.521%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 30.4% → 36.1% +5.8 pp
Draw 36.1% → 35.6% -0.5 pp
Away 33.5% → 28.2% -5.3 pp
Over 2.5 20.4% → 20.8% +0.4 pp
Both teams to score 29.7% → 29.1% -0.6 pp
Expected Goals 1.57 → 1.56 -0.01
Most Likely Score 0-0 → 0-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.56
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.66 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.77 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

36.1% 2.77 —
35.6% 2.81 —
28.2% 3.54 —
71.8% 1.39 —
63.9% 1.57 —
64.3% 1.55 —

Half-time result

27.1% 3.69 —
55.2% 1.81 —
17.7% 5.65 —

Half-time double chance

82.3% 1.22 —
72.9% 1.37 —
44.8% 2.23 —

Both halves

6.8% 14.75 —

HT/FT

21.7% 4.6 —
4.5% 22.37 —
13.6% 7.33 —
28.0% 3.57 —
13.5% 7.39 —
3.2% 31.45 —
13.8% 7.27 —

HT/FT double chance

67.8% 1.47 —
49.8% 2.01 —
46.9% 2.13 —
30.1% 3.32 —
37.2% 2.69 —
22.4% 4.47 —
45.6% 2.19 —
41.7% 2.4 —
58.5% 1.71 —

Total goals

79.1% 1.26 —
46.0% 2.17 —
20.8% 4.81 —
7.3% 13.64 —
54.0% 1.85 —
79.2% 1.26 —
92.7% 1.08 —

1st-half goals

51.3% 1.95 —
16.4% 6.09 —

Home team goals

57.3% 1.75 —
20.7% 4.83 —

Away team goals

51.0% 1.96 —
15.8% 6.31 —

Both to score

29.1% 3.44 —

Corners

70.8% 1.41 —
60.0% 1.67 —
48.6% 2.06 —
37.9% 2.64 —
28.4% 3.52 —
40.0% 2.5 —
51.4% 1.95 —
62.1% 1.61 —
71.6% 1.4 —

Home corners

77.4% 1.29 —
63.3% 1.58 —
48.8% 2.05 —

Away corners

53.1% 1.88 —
35.8% 2.8 —
22.1% 4.53 —

Cards

70.1% 1.43 —
50.3% 1.99 —
32.9% 3.04 —
19.6% 5.11 —
49.7% 2.01 —
67.1% 1.49 —
80.4% 1.24 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds