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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-01

Gillingham – Swindon

Home 34% 2.96 fair
Draw 26% 3.84 fair
Away 40% 2.49 fair
Expected Goals2.57
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 33.3% → 33.8% +0.6 pp
Draw 26.2% → 26.1% -0.1 pp
Away 40.5% → 40.1% -0.4 pp
Over 2.5 48.6% → 47.4% -1.2 pp
Both teams to score 52.9% → 51.9% -1.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.61 → 2.57 -0.04
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.93 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.71 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

33.8% 2.96 —
26.1% 3.84 —
40.1% 2.49 —
59.9% 1.67 —
66.2% 1.51 —
74.0% 1.35 —

Half-time result

22.9% 4.36 —
45.9% 2.18 —
31.1% 3.21 —

Half-time double chance

68.8% 1.45 —
77.0% 1.3 —
54.1% 1.85 —

Both halves

7.3% 13.7 —

HT/FT

16.9% 5.91 —
4.1% 24.27 —
14.5% 6.89 —
16.6% 6.02 —
14.8% 6.76 —
5.3% 18.76 —
23.4% 4.27 —

HT/FT double chance

52.1% 1.92 —
48.1% 2.08 —
37.4% 2.67 —
28.7% 3.48 —
44.6% 2.24 —
34.8% 2.87 —
38.8% 2.57 —
55.1% 1.81 —
60.2% 1.66 —

Total goals

92.1% 1.09 —
72.6% 1.38 —
47.4% 2.11 —
25.8% 3.87 —
27.4% 3.65 —
52.6% 1.9 —
74.2% 1.35 —

1st-half goals

63.9% 1.56 —
27.1% 3.69 —

Home team goals

70.1% 1.43 —
34.5% 2.9 —

Away team goals

74.0% 1.35 —
39.4% 2.54 —

Both to score

51.9% 1.93 —

Corners

73.2% 1.37 —
62.3% 1.61 —
51.4% 1.95 —
41.0% 2.44 —
30.9% 3.23 —
37.7% 2.65 —
48.6% 2.06 —
59.0% 1.69 —
69.1% 1.45 —

Home corners

77.7% 1.29 —
63.4% 1.58 —
48.4% 2.06 —

Away corners

58.2% 1.72 —
41.0% 2.44 —
27.0% 3.7 —

Cards

68.8% 1.45 —
49.7% 2.01 —
31.7% 3.15 —
18.5% 5.4 —
50.3% 1.99 —
68.3% 1.46 —
81.5% 1.23 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds