Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-01
Chesterfield – Exeter
Home
36%
2.76 fair
Draw
37%
2.71 fair
Away
27%
3.73 fair
Expected Goals1.5
Most Likely Score0-0
Both teams to score28%
Over 2.519%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
45.1%
→
36.2%
-8.9 pp
Draw
37.2%
→
37.0%
-0.2 pp
Away
17.7%
→
26.8%
+9.1 pp
Over 2.5
15.0%
→
19.1%
+4.0 pp
Both teams to score
21.2%
→
27.8%
+6.7 pp
Expected Goals
1.34 →
1.5
+0.16
Most Likely Score
0-0
→
0-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — |
Half-time result
| 14.7% | 6.8 | — | |||
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 4.99 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 85.3% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — |
Both halves
| 5.1% | 19.53 | — |
HT/FT
| 12.0% | 8.35 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.89 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.23 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.35 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.85 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.75 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — |
Total goals
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.25 | — | |||
| 6.8% | 14.73 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 93.2% | 1.07 | — |
1st-half goals
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.92 | — |
Home team goals
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.97 | — |
Away team goals
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.77 | — |
Both to score
| 27.8% | 3.59 | — |
Corners
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — |
Home corners
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — |
Away corners
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.42 | — |
Cards
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds