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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-01

Accrington – Crewe

Home 39% 2.54 fair
Draw 27% 3.68 fair
Away 33% 2.99 fair
Expected Goals2.45
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.545%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 34.2% → 39.4% +5.2 pp
Draw 27.4% → 27.2% -0.2 pp
Away 38.4% → 33.4% -5.0 pp
Over 2.5 42.9% → 44.6% +1.7 pp
Both teams to score 48.6% → 49.8% +1.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.38 → 2.45 +0.07
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.45
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.48 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.28 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.4% 2.54 —
27.2% 3.68 —
33.4% 2.99 —
66.6% 1.5 —
60.6% 1.65 —
72.8% 1.37 —

Half-time result

38.3% 2.61 —
39.4% 2.54 —
22.3% 4.48 —

Half-time double chance

77.7% 1.29 —
61.7% 1.62 —
60.6% 1.65 —

Both halves

9.3% 10.7 —

HT/FT

28.7% 3.48 —
7.0% 14.25 —
9.7% 10.3 —
16.8% 5.95 —
12.9% 7.78 —
3.4% 29.76 —
18.0% 5.55 —

HT/FT double chance

62.3% 1.61 —
53.8% 1.86 —
39.2% 2.55 —
40.1% 2.5 —
50.2% 1.99 —
30.9% 3.24 —
30.9% 3.24 —
41.5% 2.41 —
51.0% 1.96 —

Total goals

91.3% 1.09 —
70.1% 1.43 —
44.6% 2.24 —
23.4% 4.27 —
29.9% 3.34 —
55.4% 1.81 —
76.5% 1.31 —

1st-half goals

72.9% 1.37 —
37.9% 2.64 —

Home team goals

72.3% 1.38 —
37.2% 2.69 —

Away team goals

68.8% 1.45 —
32.2% 3.1 —

Both to score

49.8% 2.01 —

Corners

68.8% 1.45 —
57.9% 1.73 —
47.0% 2.13 —
36.1% 2.77 —
26.6% 3.76 —
42.1% 2.38 —
53.0% 1.89 —
63.9% 1.56 —
73.4% 1.36 —

Home corners

69.0% 1.45 —
52.5% 1.91 —
37.4% 2.68 —

Away corners

62.9% 1.59 —
45.9% 2.18 —
30.9% 3.24 —

Cards

76.6% 1.31 —
59.5% 1.68 —
42.2% 2.37 —
27.1% 3.68 —
40.5% 2.47 —
57.8% 1.73 —
72.9% 1.37 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds