Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-09-17 20:30

Malaga – Villarreal

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 2.98
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 9.66 not yet calibrated
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 4.69 not yet calibrated
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

26.3% 3.81 26.2%
23.9% 4.19 25.5%
49.9% 2.01 48.3%
50.1% 1.99
73.7% 1.36
76.1% 1.31

Half-time result

20.1% 4.98
30.5% 3.28
49.4% 2.02

Half-time double chance

50.6% 1.98
79.9% 1.25
69.5% 1.44

Both halves

5.9% 17.09

HT/FT

15.5% 6.45
3.5% 28.82
8.6% 11.67
13.3% 7.53
8.7% 11.53
7.1% 14.04
40.1% 2.49

HT/FT double chance

40.8% 2.45
33.8% 2.96
26.5% 3.77
28.3% 3.53
58.9% 1.7
51.8% 1.93
31.2% 3.21
59.5% 1.68
69.2% 1.45

Total goals

95.0% 1.05
80.0% 1.25
57.1% 1.75 58.7%
35.2% 2.84
20.0% 4.99
42.9% 2.33 41.3%
64.8% 1.54

1st-half goals

84.1% 1.19
55.0% 1.82

Home team goals

70.5% 1.42
34.5% 2.9

Away team goals

83.0% 1.2
52.6% 1.9

Both to score

58.5% 1.71

Corners

69.9% 1.43
59.1% 1.69
48.1% 2.08
37.7% 2.66
28.5% 3.51
40.9% 2.44
51.8% 1.93
62.3% 1.6
71.5% 1.4

Home corners

73.4% 1.36
59.0% 1.69
44.5% 2.25

Away corners

57.0% 1.75
40.2% 2.48
26.5% 3.78

Cards

78.4% 1.28
63.1% 1.58
47.4% 2.11
33.4% 3.0
36.9% 2.71
52.6% 1.9
66.6% 1.5

model · fair · market (no margin)