Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-09-16 20:30

Barcelona – Santander

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 4.84
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 12.19 not yet calibrated
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 4.63 not yet calibrated
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

88.5% 1.13 89.1%
7.3% 13.66 6.8%
4.1% 24.21 4.1%
95.9% 1.04
11.5% 8.73
92.7% 1.08

Half-time result

69.8% 1.43
18.2% 5.5
12.0% 8.34

Half-time double chance

88.0% 1.14
30.2% 3.32
81.8% 1.22

Both halves

55.4% 1.81

HT/FT

69.4% 1.44
14.4% 6.95
3.4% 29.59
4.8% 21.01
3.5% 28.17
3.7% 27.1

HT/FT double chance

87.6% 1.14
84.2% 1.19
4.2% 23.75
78.1% 1.28
77.9% 1.28
7.7% 13.05
26.1% 3.84
23.2% 4.3
11.0% 9.07

Total goals

95.4% 1.05
86.1% 1.16 84.2%
71.7% 1.4
4.6% 21.55
13.9% 7.2 15.8%
28.3% 3.53

1st-half goals

95.0% 1.05
80.6% 1.24

Home team goals

90.5% 1.11

Away team goals

59.8% 1.67
23.0% 4.34

Both to score

58.6% 1.71

Corners

86.4% 1.16
79.2% 1.26
71.5% 1.4
62.4% 1.6
53.1% 1.88
20.8% 4.81
28.5% 3.51
37.6% 2.66
46.9% 2.13

Home corners

92.3% 1.08
85.0% 1.18
76.3% 1.31

Away corners

51.4% 1.95
34.8% 2.88
21.8% 4.59

Cards

78.1% 1.28
62.7% 1.6
46.9% 2.13
32.8% 3.05
37.3% 2.68
53.1% 1.88
67.2% 1.49

model · fair · market (no margin)