Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-09-15 20:30
Elche – Real Madrid
Goals anchored to market odds
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 8.0% | 12.58 | 7.9% | |
| 12.4% | 8.08 | 12.7% | |
| 79.7% | 1.26 | 79.4% | |
| 20.3% | 4.92 | ||
| 92.0% | 1.09 | ||
| 87.6% | 1.14 |
Half-time result
| 9.3% | 10.78 | ||
| 28.5% | 3.5 | ||
| 62.2% | 1.61 |
Half-time double chance
| 37.8% | 2.64 | ||
| 90.7% | 1.1 | ||
| 71.5% | 1.4 |
HT/FT
| 3.7% | 27.1 | ||
| 3.1% | 32.68 | ||
| 3.3% | 30.21 | ||
| 6.7% | 14.93 | ||
| 18.5% | 5.39 | ||
| 3.1% | 31.85 | ||
| 58.1% | 1.72 |
HT/FT double chance
| 16.2% | 6.16 | ||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | ||
| 30.8% | 3.24 | ||
| 10.3% | 9.69 | ||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | ||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | ||
| 14.1% | 7.09 | ||
| 80.9% | 1.24 | ||
| 86.5% | 1.16 |
Total goals
| 88.9% | 1.13 | ||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | 72.9% | |
| 52.2% | 1.91 | ||
| 11.1% | 8.99 | ||
| 27.7% | 3.6 | 27.1% | |
| 47.8% | 2.09 |
1st-half goals
| 81.2% | 1.23 | ||
| 50.1% | 2.0 |
Home team goals
| 57.2% | 1.75 | ||
| 21.1% | 4.75 |
Away team goals
| 94.8% | 1.05 | ||
| 78.9% | 1.27 |
Both to score
| 54.3% | 1.84 |
Corners
| 67.3% | 1.49 | ||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | ||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | ||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | ||
| 25.5% | 3.93 | ||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | ||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | ||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | ||
| 74.5% | 1.34 |
Home corners
| 56.5% | 1.77 | ||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | ||
| 25.7% | 3.89 |
Away corners
| 70.3% | 1.42 | ||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | ||
| 40.6% | 2.46 |
Cards
| 79.8% | 1.25 | ||
| 65.2% | 1.53 | ||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | ||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | ||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | ||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | ||
| 65.2% | 1.53 |
model · fair · market (no margin)