Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-09-15 19:00

Alaves – Valencia

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 2.46
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 9.55 not yet calibrated
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 5.24 not yet calibrated
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

58.5% 1.71 55.7%
23.6% 4.23 27.1%
17.9% 5.59 17.2%
82.1% 1.22
41.5% 2.41
76.4% 1.31

Half-time result

40.0% 2.5
48.7% 2.05
11.3% 8.82

Half-time double chance

88.6% 1.13
60.0% 1.67
51.3% 1.95

Both halves

18.8% 5.32

HT/FT

34.0% 2.94
4.5% 22.22
22.6% 4.43
16.2% 6.19
10.0% 10.02
6.4% 15.6

HT/FT double chance

77.2% 1.3
68.0% 1.47
32.1% 3.11
43.4% 2.3
43.8% 2.28
15.4% 6.49
43.6% 2.29
40.9% 2.45
35.5% 2.81

Total goals

91.7% 1.09
70.7% 1.41
45.3% 2.21 45.2%
23.8% 4.19
29.3% 3.41
54.7% 1.83 54.8%
76.1% 1.31

1st-half goals

57.4% 1.74
21.2% 4.71

Home team goals

81.0% 1.24
50.2% 1.99

Away team goals

55.7% 1.8
19.0% 5.25

Both to score

44.9% 2.23

Corners

69.4% 1.44
58.6% 1.71
47.6% 2.1
37.3% 2.68
28.4% 3.52
41.4% 2.41
52.4% 1.91
62.7% 1.59
71.6% 1.4

Home corners

73.3% 1.36
58.5% 1.71
43.8% 2.28

Away corners

57.1% 1.75
40.5% 2.47
26.9% 3.72

Cards

83.2% 1.2
70.1% 1.43
55.2% 1.81
41.9% 2.38
29.9% 3.34
44.8% 2.23
58.1% 1.72

model · fair · market (no margin)