Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-09-15 19:00
Ajax – Willem II
Home
87%
1.15 fair
Draw
9%
11.22 fair
Away
4%
23.09 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
Ajax – Willem II
FINAL
Actual Result
5–1
Ajax – Willem II
Expected Goals4.05
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.577%
Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 86.8% | 1.15 | 85.1% | 1.10 | ||
| 8.9% | 11.22 | 10.4% | 9.00 | ||
| 4.3% | 23.09 | 4.5% | 21.00 | ||
| 95.7% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.56 | — | |||
| 91.1% | 1.1 | — |
Half-time result
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.21 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.36 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 94.2% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
Both halves
| 50.4% | 1.99 | — |
HT/FT
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.91 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.62 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 91.6% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 86.8% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.94 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.62 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.3 | — | |||
| 10.0% | 9.99 | — |
Total goals
| 91.4% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | 77.5% | 1.22 | ||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 8.6% | 11.64 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | 22.5% | 4.20 | ||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — |
1st-half goals
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — |
Home team goals
| 96.7% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 85.1% | 1.18 | — |
Away team goals
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.3 | — |
Both to score
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — |
Corners
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — |
Home corners
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — |
Away corners
| 44.0% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.36 | — |
Cards
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.01 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.11 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 85.9% | 1.16 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds