Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-11-30
Benfica – Famalicao
Home
69%
1.45 fair
Draw
19%
5.25 fair
Away
12%
8.2 fair
Expected Goals2.82
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
66.9%
→
68.7%
+1.9 pp
Draw
20.4%
→
19.1%
-1.4 pp
Away
12.7%
→
12.2%
-0.5 pp
Over 2.5
50.8%
→
53.1%
+2.3 pp
Both teams to score
44.2%
→
45.9%
+1.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.7 →
2.82
+0.12
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 68.7% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.25 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.2 | — | |||
| 87.8% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.45 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 88.2% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — |
HT/FT
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.74 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.14 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.16 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.86 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.0 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.21 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.25 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.66 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.71 | — |
Total goals
| 94.2% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — |
Home team goals
| 87.6% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.64 | — |
Away team goals
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.89 | — |
Both to score
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — |
Corners
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — |
Home corners
| 90.0% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 81.7% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — |
Away corners
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.29 | — |
Cards
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds