Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-09-14 17:30

Como – Parma

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 2.95
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 8.54 model adds signal (+1.9%)
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 4.35 model adds signal (+4.1%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

78.9% 1.27 76.7%
14.7% 6.78 17.0%
6.3% 15.75 6.2%
93.7% 1.07
21.1% 4.74
85.3% 1.17

Half-time result

53.8% 1.86
38.9% 2.57
7.3% 13.68

Half-time double chance

92.7% 1.08
46.2% 2.16
61.1% 1.64

Both halves

35.8% 2.8

HT/FT

50.8% 1.97
25.6% 3.91
10.1% 9.89
3.2% 31.15

HT/FT double chance

89.0% 1.12
80.0% 1.25
16.3% 6.12
58.0% 1.73
56.5% 1.77
7.8% 12.87
40.3% 2.48
34.0% 2.94
18.1% 5.53

Total goals

94.6% 1.06
78.8% 1.27
55.8% 1.79 56.9%
33.8% 2.96
21.2% 4.72
44.2% 2.26 43.1%
66.2% 1.51

1st-half goals

67.0% 1.49
30.7% 3.26

Home team goals

91.0% 1.1
68.9% 1.45

Away team goals

41.2% 2.43
9.8% 10.22

Both to score

37.6% 2.66

Corners

59.3% 1.69
47.4% 2.11
36.3% 2.75
27.0% 3.7
19.5% 5.12
52.6% 1.9
63.7% 1.57
73.0% 1.37
80.5% 1.24

Home corners

76.4% 1.31
62.8% 1.59
48.5% 2.06

Away corners

32.1% 3.12
18.3% 5.46
9.4% 10.58

Cards

76.5% 1.31
59.9% 1.67
42.9% 2.33
28.5% 3.51
40.1% 2.5
57.1% 1.75
71.5% 1.4

model · fair · market (no margin)