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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-09-13 19:45

Sassuolo – Juventus

Home 18% 5.41 fair
Draw 22% 4.49 fair
Away 59% 1.69 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score Sassuolo – Juventus
FINAL Actual Result 3–2 Sassuolo – Juventus
Expected Goals2.78
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.552%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 2.78
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.29 model adds signal (+1.9%)
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.82 model adds signal (+4.1%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

18.5% 5.41 18.0% 5.25
22.3% 4.49 23.6% 4.00
59.2% 1.69 58.4% 1.62
40.8% 2.45 —
81.5% 1.23 —
77.7% 1.29 —

Half-time result

18.5% 5.4 —
39.6% 2.53 —
41.9% 2.39 —

Half-time double chance

58.1% 1.72 —
81.5% 1.23 —
60.4% 1.65 —

Both halves

3.1% 32.47 —

HT/FT

10.7% 9.35 —
4.9% 20.58 —
6.7% 15.02 —
13.5% 7.4 —
19.4% 5.15 —
3.9% 25.45 —
36.9% 2.71 —

HT/FT double chance

35.7% 2.8 —
39.7% 2.52 —
40.8% 2.45 —
20.6% 4.86 —
51.6% 1.94 —
48.6% 2.06 —
25.2% 3.97 —
64.0% 1.56 —
73.7% 1.36 —

Total goals

93.7% 1.07 —
76.6% 1.31 —
52.1% 1.92 52.6% 1.83
30.0% 3.33 —
23.4% 4.27 —
47.9% 2.09 47.4% 2.03
70.0% 1.43 —

1st-half goals

71.3% 1.4 —
34.8% 2.88 —

Home team goals

59.6% 1.68 —
23.2% 4.31 —

Away team goals

84.3% 1.19 —
55.2% 1.81 —

Both to score

50.2% 1.99 —

Corners

66.5% 1.5 —
55.5% 1.8 —
44.2% 2.26 —
34.5% 2.9 —
25.8% 3.88 —
44.5% 2.25 —
55.8% 1.79 —
65.5% 1.53 —
74.3% 1.35 —

Home corners

59.6% 1.68 —
42.4% 2.36 —
28.3% 3.53 —

Away corners

68.2% 1.47 —
52.6% 1.9 —
38.1% 2.62 —

Cards

69.8% 1.43 —
51.2% 1.95 —
34.3% 2.91 —
21.5% 4.65 —
48.8% 2.05 —
65.7% 1.52 —
78.5% 1.27 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds