Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-09-13 17:00

Napoli Bologna

Home 54% 1.85 fair
Draw 25% 3.97 fair
Away 21% 4.84 fair
Expected Goals2.46
Most Likely Score
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.544%

Goals anchored to market odds

Total goals expected 2.46
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners expected 8.5 model adds signal (+1.9%)
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 3.56 model adds signal (+4.1%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

54.2% 1.85 53.2% 1.80
25.2% 3.97 26.6% 3.60
20.7% 4.84 20.2% 4.75
79.3% 1.26
45.8% 2.18
74.8% 1.34

Half-time result

40.4% 2.47
43.8% 2.28
15.8% 6.34

Half-time double chance

84.2% 1.19
59.6% 1.68
56.2% 1.78

Both halves

17.0% 5.88

HT/FT

34.1% 2.93
4.9% 20.45
18.0% 5.56
16.5% 6.05
9.3% 10.79
3.7% 26.74
9.9% 10.07

HT/FT double chance

73.5% 1.36
62.8% 1.59
32.2% 3.11
44.8% 2.23
47.6% 2.1
20.0% 5.0
40.4% 2.48
39.3% 2.54
39.5% 2.53

Total goals

91.2% 1.1
70.5% 1.42
44.5% 2.25 45.2% 2.10
23.3% 4.3
29.5% 3.39
55.5% 1.8 54.8% 1.73
76.7% 1.3

1st-half goals

65.1% 1.54
28.5% 3.51

Home team goals

79.4% 1.26
47.0% 2.13

Away team goals

57.9% 1.73
21.9% 4.56

Both to score

46.1% 2.17

Corners

58.3% 1.72
46.7% 2.14
35.9% 2.79
26.1% 3.84
18.5% 5.41
53.3% 1.88
64.1% 1.56
73.9% 1.35
81.5% 1.23

Home corners

72.0% 1.39
57.2% 1.75
42.6% 2.35

Away corners

39.5% 2.53
23.8% 4.21
13.2% 7.57

Cards

65.2% 1.53
45.8% 2.18
29.1% 3.44
17.0% 5.89
54.2% 1.85
70.9% 1.41
83.0% 1.2

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds