Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-09-14 20:45

Sp Braga – Estoril

Home 65% 1.53 fair
Draw 20% 4.89 fair
Away 14% 7.04 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score Sp Braga – Estoril
FINAL Actual Result 1–0 Sp Braga – Estoril
Expected Goals2.89
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.555%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 2.89
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.21 model adds signal (+0.5%)
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.91 no edge over baseline
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

65.3% 1.53 63.3% 1.46
20.5% 4.89 22.5% 4.10
14.2% 7.04 14.2% 6.50
85.8% 1.17 —
34.7% 2.88 —
79.5% 1.26 —

Half-time result

56.0% 1.79 —
32.2% 3.1 —
11.8% 8.47 —

Half-time double chance

88.2% 1.13 —
44.0% 2.27 —
67.8% 1.48 —

Both halves

24.8% 4.03 —

HT/FT

49.6% 2.01 —
5.1% 19.69 —
14.1% 7.12 —
12.4% 8.09 —
5.8% 17.21 —
3.0% 33.0 —
7.2% 13.97 —

HT/FT double chance

81.2% 1.23 —
70.8% 1.41 —
24.5% 4.08 —
59.4% 1.68 —
59.7% 1.68 —
16.5% 6.06 —
31.1% 3.22 —
28.6% 3.49 —
28.4% 3.53 —

Total goals

94.4% 1.06 —
78.6% 1.27 —
54.7% 1.83 55.3% 1.70
32.5% 3.08 —
21.4% 4.67 —
45.3% 2.21 44.7% 2.10
67.5% 1.48 —

1st-half goals

78.2% 1.28 —
44.9% 2.23 —

Home team goals

87.1% 1.15 —
60.9% 1.64 —

Away team goals

56.5% 1.77 —
20.3% 4.92 —

Both to score

49.3% 2.03 —

Corners

64.7% 1.55 —
53.2% 1.88 —
42.8% 2.34 —
33.0% 3.03 —
24.6% 4.07 —
46.8% 2.14 —
57.2% 1.75 —
67.0% 1.49 —
75.4% 1.33 —

Home corners

79.0% 1.27 —
66.3% 1.51 —
52.9% 1.89 —

Away corners

37.0% 2.7 —
22.1% 4.52 —
11.9% 8.42 —

Cards Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

80.7% 1.24 —
66.5% 1.5 —
51.4% 1.95 —
37.0% 2.7 —
33.5% 2.99 —
48.6% 2.06 —
63.0% 1.59 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds