Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-09-14 20:15

Moreirense – Maritimo

Home 40% 2.53 fair
Draw 28% 3.59 fair
Away 33% 3.06 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score Moreirense – Maritimo
FINAL Actual Result 3–1 Moreirense – Maritimo
Expected Goals2.35
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.542%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 2.35
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.11 model adds signal (+0.5%)
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.98 no edge over baseline
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.6% 2.53 38.6% 2.40
27.8% 3.59 28.9% 3.20
32.6% 3.06 32.5% 2.85
67.4% 1.48 —
60.5% 1.65 —
72.2% 1.39 —

Half-time result

37.7% 2.65 —
43.5% 2.3 —
18.9% 5.3 —

Half-time double chance

81.1% 1.23 —
62.3% 1.61 —
56.5% 1.77 —

Both halves

9.3% 10.75 —

HT/FT

27.7% 3.62 —
7.2% 13.93 —
11.0% 9.1 —
17.7% 5.64 —
14.7% 6.78 —
15.0% 6.65 —

HT/FT double chance

63.5% 1.57 —
56.2% 1.78 —
42.5% 2.35 —
38.7% 2.59 —
46.5% 2.15 —
28.0% 3.57 —
32.5% 3.07 —
41.7% 2.4 —
50.4% 1.98 —

Total goals

90.5% 1.11 —
68.0% 1.47 —
41.6% 2.4 41.9% 2.25
21.1% 4.73 —
32.0% 3.13 —
58.4% 1.71 58.1% 1.62
78.9% 1.27 —

1st-half goals

66.9% 1.49 —
30.4% 3.29 —

Home team goals

71.4% 1.4 —
35.1% 2.85 —

Away team goals

66.7% 1.5 —
30.3% 3.3 —

Both to score

47.6% 2.1 —

Corners

53.6% 1.86 —
42.0% 2.38 —
31.1% 3.21 —
22.4% 4.47 —
15.6% 6.42 —
58.0% 1.73 —
68.9% 1.45 —
77.6% 1.29 —
84.4% 1.18 —

Home corners

56.1% 1.78 —
39.1% 2.56 —
25.5% 3.93 —

Away corners

52.9% 1.89 —
36.5% 2.74 —
22.9% 4.36 —

Cards Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

80.9% 1.24 —
67.0% 1.49 —
52.3% 1.91 —
38.1% 2.63 —
33.0% 3.03 —
47.7% 2.1 —
61.9% 1.62 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds