Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-09-14 18:45

Rio Ave – Estrela

Home 34% 2.94 fair
Draw 27% 3.71 fair
Away 39% 2.56 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score Rio Ave – Estrela
FINAL Actual Result 3–3 Rio Ave – Estrela
Expected Goals2.51
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.546%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 2.51
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.46 model adds signal (+0.5%)
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.21 no edge over baseline
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

34.0% 2.94 33.7% 2.75
26.9% 3.71 28.5% 3.25
39.1% 2.56 37.8% 2.45
60.9% 1.64 —
66.0% 1.52 —
73.1% 1.37 —

Half-time result

24.5% 4.08 —
45.6% 2.19 —
29.8% 3.35 —

Half-time double chance

70.2% 1.43 —
75.5% 1.33 —
54.4% 1.84 —

Both halves

7.4% 13.57 —

HT/FT

17.8% 5.61 —
4.7% 21.19 —
13.8% 7.23 —
16.9% 5.92 —
14.9% 6.7 —
5.3% 18.8 —
22.2% 4.51 —

HT/FT double chance

53.3% 1.88 —
48.6% 2.06 —
38.5% 2.6 —
30.2% 3.31 —
44.3% 2.26 —
34.2% 2.93 —
38.4% 2.6 —
53.3% 1.88 —
59.3% 1.69 —

Total goals

91.8% 1.09 —
71.1% 1.41 —
45.9% 2.18 46.1% 2.05
24.3% 4.11 —
28.9% 3.46 —
54.1% 1.85 53.9% 1.75
75.7% 1.32 —

1st-half goals

64.4% 1.55 —
27.7% 3.61 —

Home team goals

69.7% 1.44 —
34.0% 2.94 —

Away team goals

72.8% 1.37 —
37.5% 2.67 —

Both to score

50.7% 1.97 —

Corners

67.8% 1.47 —
56.8% 1.76 —
46.1% 2.17 —
35.8% 2.79 —
27.0% 3.7 —
43.2% 2.31 —
53.9% 1.86 —
64.2% 1.56 —
73.0% 1.37 —

Home corners

71.1% 1.41 —
56.4% 1.77 —
41.4% 2.41 —

Away corners

56.9% 1.76 —
40.4% 2.48 —
27.0% 3.7 —

Cards Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

83.3% 1.2 —
69.4% 1.44 —
54.5% 1.84 —
40.5% 2.47 —
30.6% 3.27 —
45.5% 2.2 —
59.5% 1.68 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds