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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-21

Sudtirol – Cremonese

Home 30% 3.33 fair
Draw 28% 3.57 fair
Away 42% 2.38 fair
Expected Goals2.33
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.541%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 34.6% → 30.0% -4.5 pp
Draw 27.8% → 28.0% +0.2 pp
Away 37.6% → 42.0% +4.4 pp
Over 2.5 43.0% → 40.9% -2.1 pp
Both teams to score 49.2% → 46.8% -2.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.41 → 2.33 -0.08
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.33
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.42 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.65 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

30.0% 3.33 —
28.0% 3.57 —
42.0% 2.38 —
58.0% 1.72 —
70.0% 1.43 —
72.0% 1.39 —

Half-time result

25.9% 3.85 —
43.9% 2.28 —
30.1% 3.32 —

Half-time double chance

69.9% 1.43 —
74.1% 1.35 —
56.1% 1.78 —

Both halves

6.1% 16.47 —

HT/FT

18.4% 5.43 —
5.4% 18.38 —
10.3% 9.72 —
18.2% 5.5 —
15.5% 6.46 —
4.4% 22.88 —
24.4% 4.1 —

HT/FT double chance

52.3% 1.91 —
46.3% 2.16 —
41.2% 2.43 —
29.5% 3.39 —
46.3% 2.16 —
36.3% 2.75 —
34.2% 2.93 —
51.5% 1.94 —
62.4% 1.6 —

Total goals

90.5% 1.11 —
67.7% 1.48 —
40.9% 2.44 —
20.7% 4.83 —
32.3% 3.1 —
59.1% 1.69 —
79.3% 1.26 —

1st-half goals

67.3% 1.49 —
31.0% 3.23 —

Home team goals

64.8% 1.54 —
28.1% 3.56 —

Away team goals

72.5% 1.38 —
36.9% 2.71 —

Both to score

46.8% 2.14 —

Corners

57.7% 1.73 —
45.9% 2.18 —
34.6% 2.89 —
25.1% 3.98 —
17.5% 5.72 —
54.1% 1.85 —
65.3% 1.53 —
74.9% 1.34 —
82.5% 1.21 —

Home corners

53.2% 1.88 —
36.1% 2.77 —
22.8% 4.4 —

Away corners

61.9% 1.62 —
45.0% 2.22 —
30.6% 3.27 —

Cards

81.3% 1.23 —
65.6% 1.52 —
48.3% 2.07 —
32.7% 3.06 —
34.4% 2.91 —
51.6% 1.94 —
67.3% 1.49 —

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