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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-21

Sampdoria – Benevento

Home 31% 3.22 fair
Draw 30% 3.37 fair
Away 39% 2.55 fair
Expected Goals2.09
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.535%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 36.1% → 31.0% -5.0 pp
Draw 30.3% → 29.7% -0.6 pp
Away 33.6% → 39.3% +5.7 pp
Over 2.5 33.9% → 34.7% +0.9 pp
Both teams to score 41.2% → 41.5% +0.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.06 → 2.09 +0.03
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.09
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.64 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.45 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

31.0% 3.22 —
29.7% 3.37 —
39.3% 2.55 —
60.7% 1.65 —
69.0% 1.45 —
70.3% 1.42 —

Half-time result

14.9% 6.7 —
57.0% 1.75 —
28.1% 3.56 —

Half-time double chance

71.9% 1.39 —
85.1% 1.18 —
43.0% 2.33 —

Both halves

4.8% 21.01 —

HT/FT

10.7% 9.32 —
18.1% 5.53 —
21.5% 4.65 —
17.4% 5.73 —
5.3% 18.87 —
20.5% 4.87 —

HT/FT double chance

53.2% 1.88 —
47.5% 2.1 —
43.1% 2.32 —
21.1% 4.73 —
34.8% 2.87 —
30.0% 3.33 —
47.1% 2.12 —
58.3% 1.72 —
64.8% 1.54 —

Total goals

87.7% 1.14 —
61.7% 1.62 —
34.7% 2.88 —
15.9% 6.3 —
38.4% 2.61 —
65.3% 1.53 —
84.1% 1.19 —

1st-half goals

48.4% 2.07 —
14.2% 7.02 —

Home team goals

62.1% 1.61 —
25.1% 3.99 —

Away team goals

67.1% 1.49 —
30.9% 3.24 —

Both to score

41.5% 2.41 —

Corners

70.2% 1.42 —
59.1% 1.69 —
48.1% 2.08 —
37.7% 2.65 —
28.4% 3.52 —
40.9% 2.45 —
51.9% 1.93 —
62.3% 1.6 —
71.6% 1.4 —

Home corners

71.0% 1.41 —
55.0% 1.82 —
40.3% 2.48 —

Away corners

62.0% 1.61 —
45.3% 2.21 —
30.6% 3.27 —

Cards

87.9% 1.14 —
75.4% 1.33 —
60.0% 1.67 —
44.5% 2.25 —
24.6% 4.07 —
40.0% 2.5 —
55.5% 1.8 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds